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    本文转载自微信公众号“caoz的梦呓”(ID:caozsay),作者:曹政我之前写过一篇文章,叫做《接盘侠,不要跑》,因为某些不可抗力,已经被删除了,所以计划中的姊妹篇,《背锅侠,不要跑》也就从此夭折。ofo这事,其实很早之前提过,典型的寻找接盘侠的生意。在两年前我的判断就是,最后ofo和摩拜合并,然后接盘侠接手,创始人成功套现,后续一地鸡毛,没准还要政府跟着擦屁股埋单。预测不太准,摩拜老板成功找到了接盘侠,顺利成了抛弃你们的同龄人,然后也抛弃了他的团队,据说美团开始对摩拜裁员,准备过冬呢。而ofo老板则没能幸免,不但进入老赖名单,还惨遭网友人肉,恨不得祖宗十八代都要出来一起批倒批臭,你说网友们这是多大的仇多大的怨啊。马化腾说,ofo输在了一票否决权。马老板格局高,又曾经给我赞赏过一次,我可不敢说他讲的不对,我就顺着马老板的意思说下去。当时要不是被一票否决权给耽误了,ofo不早就可以和摩拜合并,然后顺利卖给接盘侠了么?那我不就预测完美了么?这几年新经济燥热,要是讲商业的本质是赚钱,谁说谁傻逼有没有。新经济创业者都爱给自己贴理想主义、情怀的标签,你去问创业者商业的本质是什么,你们这些古典互联网的老顽固们,有没有格局,懂不懂新经济,赚钱这么低俗,目标这么浅薄,怎么能是新一代创业者要去考虑的。而且,不服不行,只要资本加持,市场吹风,哪怕亏损再大,项目再烂,这些新经济创业者总能套现走人。就算项目彻底失败搞得一地鸡毛,换个身份,转型投资人,一样可以做成功学导师,各种收割粉丝的智商税。 就好比某些明星创业者,在百团大战中烧光了投资人的钱,更不用说那个沉迷于资金盘游戏的神奇少女,你们猜猜最近几年她玩各种资金盘和三级分销一共薅了多少钱?更更更不用说沉迷于ICO的那些,人家信奉的是韭菜不割天诛地灭的理论。至于项目,呵呵。项目惨淡,个人暴富,这就是最近几年新经济的现状。绑架式创业,我不贴链接了,自己搜历史文章去。结果这个套路在ofo这里出了点bug,其实我是有点佩服戴威的,不按剧本来啊,见好就收不就完美结局了。结果咋就非要死撑,想上天啊。绑架式创业变成了互相绑架,最后谁也不松绑。得,本来指望接盘侠能把押金挪用的窟窿填上,这下完了,最后居然落到了老赖名单严禁消费的地步。说来这几年新经济风云人物,除了搞P2P爆雷被抓进去的,能混到惨成这个份上的,他也算开了新境界了。为啥我说这事还挺好的?如果没有接盘侠,这生意成立么?如果没有接盘侠,创业者担的了后果么?如果有一天,大家发现,市场上没有接盘侠了,创业者能知道,用户资金滥用的后果要自己承担的。也许我们可以重新给商业正名一下,商业的本质,还是要赚钱的,就算是不作恶的Google,其市值也是靠利润支撑的。还有就是,创业者要学会尊重法制,尊重用户。押金不是收入,基本财务常识,创业者不要装不知道。如果我们能开诚布公地重新讨论如何赚钱这个低俗和浅薄的目标,也许我们的创业和投资能够回到应有的路径上来。这几年的创投圈投机盛行,拼关系拼资源的风气也许能稍微扭转一下。真正有价值的创业者也许才有机会脱颖而出。浪潮已经褪去,冷眼旁观,谁在裸泳。我以前说过,今天再强调一次,创业和打工,没有高低贵贱之分,犯不着一谈创业就先感动或自我感动。创业者想要追求成功的名誉和财富,就要有承担失败冷落和凄凉的心理准备,接受不了这些,就别创业。但对于某些读者,我也劝一句,你做所有事情的时候,都计算一下自己的时间和机会成本,有那功夫日夜不休地追着ofo要退款,你时间就这么不值钱么?其实很多街边小店、餐厅、理发厅什么的,卖会员卡给折扣,你买了会员卡,还没消费完了,这店撤了,你剩下的钱哪追去,这种事还少么?有人说了,你到底站哪边的?从“自相矛盾”的一些问题来谈谈认知 ,很多人脑子就是转不过来。

ben wen zhuan zai zi wei xin gong zhong hao" caoz de meng yi" ID: caozsay, zuo zhe: cao zheng wo zhi qian xie guo yi pian wen zhang, jiao zuo jie pan xia, bu yao pao, yin wei mou xie bu ke kang li, yi jing bei shan chu le, suo yi ji hua zhong de zi mei pian, bei guo xia, bu yao pao ye jiu cong ci yao zhe. ofo zhe shi, qi shi hen zao zhi qian ti guo, dian xing de xun zhao jie pan xia de sheng yi. zai liang nian qian wo de pan duan jiu shi, zui hou ofo he mo bai he bing, ran hou jie pan xia jie shou, chuang shi ren cheng gong tao xian, hou xu yi di ji mao, mei zhun hai yao zheng fu gen zhe ca pi gu mai dan. yu ce bu tai zhun, mo bai lao ban cheng gong zhao dao le jie pan xia, shun li cheng le pao qi ni men de tong ling ren, ran hou ye pao qi le ta de tuan dui, ju shuo mei tuan kai shi dui mo bai cai yuan, zhun bei guo dong ne. er ofo lao ban ze mei neng xing mian, bu dan jin ru lao lai ming dan, hai can zao wang you ren rou, hen bu de zu zong shi ba dai dou yao chu lai yi qi pi dao pi chou, ni shuo wang you men zhe shi duo da de chou duo da de yuan a. ma hua teng shuo, ofo shu zai le yi piao fou jue quan. ma lao ban ge ju gao, you ceng jing gei wo zan shang guo yi ci, wo ke bu gan shuo ta jiang de bu dui, wo jiu shun zhe ma lao ban de yi si shuo xia qu. dang shi yao bu shi bei yi piao fou jue quan gei dan wu le, ofo bu zao jiu ke yi he mo bai he bing, ran hou shun li mai gei jie pan xia le me? na wo bu jiu yu ce wan mei le me? zhe ji nian xin jing ji zao re, yao shi jiang shang ye de ben zhi shi zhuan qian, shui shuo shui sha bi you mei you. xin jing ji chuang ye zhe dou ai gei zi ji tie li xiang zhu yi qing huai de biao qian, ni qu wen chuang ye zhe shang ye de ben zhi shi shen me, ni men zhei xie gu dian hu lian wang de lao wan gu men, you mei you ge ju, dong bu dong xin jing ji, zhuan qian zhe me di su, mu biao zhe me qian bo, zen me neng shi xin yi dai chuang ye zhe yao qu kao lv de. er qie, bu fu bu xing, zhi yao zi ben jia chi, shi chang chui feng, na pa kui sun zai da, xiang mu zai lan, zhei xie xin jing ji chuang ye zhe zong neng tao xian zou ren. jiu suan xiang mu che di shi bai gao de yi di ji mao, huan ge shen fen, zhuan xing tou zi ren, yi yang ke yi zuo cheng gong xue dao shi, ge zhong shou ge fen si de zhi shang shui. jiu hao bi mou xie ming xing chuang ye zhe, zai bai tuan da zhan zhong shao guang le tou zi ren de qian, geng bu yong shuo na ge chen mi yu zi jin pan you xi de shen qi shao nv, ni men cai cai zui jin ji nian ta wan ge zhong zi jin pan he san ji fen xiao yi gong hao le duo shao qian? geng geng geng bu yong shuo chen mi yu ICO de nei xie, ren jia xin feng de shi jiu cai bu ge tian zhu di mie de li lun. zhi yu xiang mu, he he. xiang mu can dan, ge ren bao fu, zhe jiu shi zui jin ji nian xin jing ji de xian zhuang. bang jia shi chuang ye, wo bu tie lian jie le, zi ji sou li shi wen zhang qu. jie guo zhe ge tao lu zai ofo zhe li chu le dian bug, qi shi wo shi you dian pei fu dai wei de, bu an ju ben lai a, jian hao jiu shou bu jiu wan mei jie ju le. jie guo za jiu fei yao si cheng, xiang shang tian a. bang jia shi chuang ye bian cheng le hu xiang bang jia, zui hou shui ye bu song bang. de, ben lai zhi wang jie pan xia neng ba ya jin nuo yong de ku long tian shang, zhe xia wan le, zui hou ju ran luo dao le lao lai ming dan yan jin xiao fei de di bu. shuo lai zhe ji nian xin jing ji feng yun ren wu, chu le gao P2P bao lei bei zhua jin qu de, neng hun dao can cheng zhe ge fen shang de, ta ye suan kai le xin jing jie le. wei sha wo shuo zhe shi hai ting hao de? ru guo mei you jie pan xia, zhe sheng yi cheng li me? ru guo mei you jie pan xia, chuang ye zhe dan de le hou guo me? ru guo you yi tian, da jia fa xian, shi chang shang mei you jie pan xia le, chuang ye zhe neng zhi dao, yong hu zi jin lan yong de hou guo yao zi ji cheng dan de. ye xu wo men ke yi chong xin gei shang ye zheng ming yi xia, shang ye de ben zhi, hai shi yao zhuan qian de, jiu suan shi bu zuo e de Google, qi shi zhi ye shi kao li run zhi cheng de. hai you jiu shi, chuang ye zhe yao xue hui zun zhong fa zhi, zun zhong yong hu. ya jin bu shi shou ru, ji ben cai wu chang shi, chuang ye zhe bu yao zhuang bu zhi dao. ru guo wo men neng kai cheng bu gong di chong xin tao lun ru he zhuan qian zhe ge di su he qian bo de mu biao, ye xu wo men de chuang ye he tou zi neng gou hui dao ying you de lu jing shang lai. zhe ji nian de chuang tou quan tou ji sheng xing, pin guan xi pin zi yuan de feng qi ye xu neng shao wei niu zhuan yi xia. zhen zheng you jia zhi de chuang ye zhe ye xu cai you ji hui tuo ying er chu. lang chao yi jing tun qu, leng yan pang guan, shui zai luo yong. wo yi qian shuo guo, jin tian zai qiang diao yi ci, chuang ye he da gong, mei you gao di gui jian zhi fen, fan bu zhao yi tan chuang ye jiu xian gan dong huo zi wo gan dong. chuang ye zhe xiang yao zhui qiu cheng gong de ming yu he cai fu, jiu yao you cheng dan shi bai leng luo he qi liang de xin li zhun bei, jie shou bu liao zhei xie, jiu bie chuang ye. dan dui yu mou xie du zhe, wo ye quan yi ju, ni zuo suo you shi qing de shi hou, dou ji suan yi xia zi ji de shi jian he ji hui cheng ben, you na gong fu ri ye bu xiu di zhui zhe ofo yao tui kuan, ni shi jian jiu zhe me bu zhi qian me? qi shi hen duo jie bian xiao dian can ting li fa ting shen me de, mai hui yuan ka gei zhe kou, ni mai le hui yuan ka, hai mei xiao fei wan le, zhe dian che le, ni sheng xia de qian na zhui qu, zhe zhong shi hai shao me? you ren shuo le, ni dao di zhan na bian de? cong" zi xiang mao dun" de yi xie wen ti lai tan tan ren zhi, hen duo ren nao zi jiu shi zhuan bu guo lai.

    

    

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